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Fairbanks Ranch Market Report

October 2026 · Rancho Santa Fe, CA 92067 · prepared by AJ Powers, Broker/Owner, Irons & Estates

Updated November 1st, 2026

Print version (PDF)Fairbanks Ranch homes for sale
Fairbanks Ranch from the air
01
Last 90 days
Aug 3–Oct 31, 2026
$5.2m
Median sale
Q3 2026: $5.45m
12 months: $5.2m
$805
Price per sq ft
Q3 2026: $853
12 months: $813
90.3%
Of original ask
Q3 2026: 88.4%
12 months: 91.2%
66
Total days on market
Q3 2026: 81
12 months: 87.5
5
Closings
Q3 2026: 6
12 months: 29
Nothing sold here in October, so the large figures cover the last 90 days, August 3rd to October 31st, 2026: five homes. Beside each: July to September, and the twelve months to October 31st.
What it means
if you’re buying

Nothing closed in Fairbanks Ranch in October. It's on track for about five this quarter, against 9 in the same three months last year. There are 10 homes for sale right now, up from 8 at the start of October. At the pace homes have sold over the last year, that's about 4.1 months' worth.

Counting earlier listings, three of the 10 homes for sale have cut the price.

If you're buying, there's time to be selective, and each home's history will tell you how much room there is. Tell me what you're after and I'll show you what's selling in that range.

02
This quarter and
the seven before

The Card

This quarter
Q4 2026
0
Closed so far
$5.2m
Median, 90 days
5
Forecast
0
In escrow now
9
Same quarter last year
Nothing has closed yet this quarter, so the median shown is the last 90 days, August 3rd to October 31st: five homes.
Quarter by quarter
most recent first
QuarterSalesMedian sale$ / sq ftTotal daysOf original
Q4 2026 so far0————
Q3 20266$5.45m$8538188.4%
Q2 20268$5.07m$78039.591.9%
Q1 202610$4.95m$749158.591.1%
Q4 20259$5.91m$9017994.1%
Q3 202510$4.75m$78211284.3%
Q2 20255$4.9m$9331398.7%
Q1 20256$5.51m$9088985.2%
Every quarter shows its medians, however many homes sold; a dash means nothing sold. Total days count every listing of the home.
Eight-quarter shape · Q1 ’25 to Q4 ’26 so far
Hover over any chart for the full numbers behind it.Tap any chart for the full numbers behind it.
Median sale
$5.51m$4.9m$4.75m$5.91m$4.95m$5.07m$5.45mQ1 ’25Q2 ’25Q3 ’25Q4 ’25Q1 ’26Q2 ’26Q3 ’26Q4 ’26$5.51mQ1’25$4.9mQ2’25$4.75mQ3’25$5.91mQ4’25$4.95mQ1’26$5.07mQ2’26$5.45mQ3’26Q4’26
$ per sq ft
$908$933$782$901$749$780$853Q1 ’25Q2 ’25Q3 ’25Q4 ’25Q1 ’26Q2 ’26Q3 ’26Q4 ’26$908Q1’25$933Q2’25$782Q3’25$901Q4’25$749Q1’26$780Q2’26$853Q3’26Q4’26
% of original
85.2%98.7%84.3%94.1%91.1%91.9%88.4%Q1 ’25Q2 ’25Q3 ’25Q4 ’25Q1 ’26Q2 ’26Q3 ’26Q4 ’2685.2%Q1’2598.7%Q2’2584.3%Q3’2594.1%Q4’2591.1%Q1’2691.9%Q2’2688.4%Q3’26Q4’26
Supply
4.1
months of supply, up from 2.9 on October 4th. 10 for sale and 0 pending on November 1st, 2026.
Closings by quarter
6Q1 ’255Q2 ’2510Q3 ’259Q4 ’2510Q1 ’268Q2 ’266Q3 ’260Q4 ’266Q1’255Q2’2510Q3’259Q4’2510Q1’268Q2’266Q3’260Q4’26
03
Eight quarters,
oldest to newest

The trend

Median sale price, quarter by quarter · Q4 ’26 so far in gold
$5.51mQ1 ’25$4.9mQ2 ’25$4.75mQ3 ’25$5.91mQ4 ’25$4.95mQ1 ’26$5.07mQ2 ’26$5.45mQ3 ’26—Q4 ’26so far$5.51mQ1’25$4.9mQ2’25$4.75mQ3’25$5.91mQ4’25$4.95mQ1’26$5.07mQ2’26$5.45mQ3’26—Q4’26so far
$5.2m
twelve-month median
The latest full quarter, July to September, closed at a median of $5.45m, up 7% from $5.07m in April to June. One quarter mostly reflects which homes happened to sell, so I'd weigh the last two together.
Price per sq ft
$908Q1 ’25$933Q2 ’25$782Q3 ’25$901Q4 ’25$749Q1 ’26$780Q2 ’26$853Q3 ’26noneQ4 ’26$908Q1’25$933Q2’25$782Q3’25$901Q4’25$749Q1’26$780Q2’26$853Q3’26noneQ4’26
$813
twelve months
Price per square foot was $853 in July to September against $780 the quarter before. Check the lot every time you compare two homes on price per foot.
Of original ask
85.2%Q1 ’2598.7%Q2 ’2584.3%Q3 ’2594.1%Q4 ’2591.1%Q1 ’2691.9%Q2 ’2688.4%Q3 ’26noneQ4 ’2685.2%Q1’2598.7%Q2’2584.3%Q3’2594.1%Q4’2591.1%Q1’2691.9%Q2’2688.4%Q3’26noneQ4’26
91.2%
twelve months
Homes sold at a median of 88.4% of their first asking price in July to September, against 91.9% in April to June. There is usually room between where a home starts and where it closes.
What the money
bought
HomesMedian priceMedian sq ftMedian lot$ / sq ft
Sold, last 90 days5$5.2m6,4591.25 ac$805
Sold, last 12 months29$5.2m6,4591.22 ac$813
For sale, November 1st, 2026 (asking)10$7.57m7,8591.34 ac$897
First row: the last 90 days, as nothing sold in October. Asking prices are not sale prices, so read the last row on its own.
04
What each price range
buys, and how it’s moving

The Range Finder

Price range
Sold, 12 mo
Median sq ft
Median lot
$ / sq ft
Total days
For sale
Vs Oct 4th
Supply (mo)
Under $4m
2
5,190
1.82 ac
$698
157.5
0
—
0.0
—
$4–5m
10
5,660
1.17 ac
$735
108
3
50%
3.6
80%
$5–6m
6
6,057
1.11 ac
$853
53
0
—
0.0
—
$6–7m
6
7,180
1.33 ac
$848
107.5
1
—
2.0
—
$7–8m
2
7,281
1.20 ac
$1,032
94
4
33%
48.0
24-mo pace
$8–10m
2
8,597
2.37 ac
$1,011
158.5
1
—
8.0
24-mo pace
$10m and up
1
31,068
—
$901
238
1
—
8.0
24-mo pace
Months of supply
by price range
Under $4m0.0$4–5m3.6$5–6m0.0$6–7m2.0$7–8m48.0$8–10m8.0$10m and up8.0Under $4m0.0$4–5m3.6$5–6m0.0$6–7m2.0$7–8m48.0$8–10m8.0$10m and up8.0
What it means
Between $4 and $5 million, there is one more home for sale than on October 4th. Nothing is for sale between $5 and $6 million right now.
Sold, size, lot, $/sq ft and total days: closings over the last twelve months, medians of however many sold. For sale: homes listed on November 1st, 2026, by asking price. Vs Oct 4th: the change in homes for sale since October 4th, up in green, down in red, a dash if the same. Supply: homes for sale divided by that range’s monthly pace of sales, with its change since October 4th beneath. Where a range had fewer than six sales in twelve months, its pace reaches back by whole months until six sales, never past two years, and the months used show beneath.
6089 Avenida Alteras, Fairbanks Ranch
The ten highest sales · May–Oct 2026

The Leaderboard

$6,450,000
1 · 6089 Avenida Alteras · closed 8/3/26
9,106 sq ft · 1.33 ac · first asked $6,995,000 · 51 total days
16625 Via Lago Azul, Fairbanks Ranch
2 · closed 7/6/26
16625 Via Lago Azul
$6,173,000
5,009 sq ft · 1.14 ac · first asked $7,495,000 · 226 total days
16364 Via Cazadero, Fairbanks Ranch
3 · closed 6/8/26
16364 Via Cazadero
$6,150,000
7,569 sq ft · 1.02 ac · entered only to record the sale
17538 Circa Oriente, Fairbanks Ranch
4 · closed 5/26/26
17538 Circa Oriente
$6,063,320
5,695 sq ft · — · entered only to record the sale
Address
Closed
Sq ft
Lot
First asked
Sold
Total days
5
16614 Circa Del Sur
6/16/26
6,790
1.71 ac
$6,399,000
$6,000,000
50
6
6056 Calle Camposeco
9/15/26
7,406
1.40 ac
$6,450,000
$5,703,750
81
7
16429 Avenida de los Olivos
6/5/26
8,069
1.02 ac
$5,375,000
$5,375,000
25
8
16772 Camino Sierra Del Sur
8/26/26
6,459
1.14 ac
$5,999,999
$5,200,000
263
9
17191 Camino de Montecillo
9/15/26
5,655
—
—
$5,100,000
—
10
16591 Via Lago Azul
9/17/26
4,711
1.17 ac
$4,995,000
$4,700,000
27
The window
The ten highest sales from May 1st, 2026 to October 31st, 2026. The window starts with October and reaches back by whole months only until there are ten sales to rank. Days are total days on market across every listing of the home. A dash in first asked and days: a sale entered in the MLS only to record it, never marketed.
06
Six sales
Jul–Oct 2026

Closed sales

16591 Via Lago Azul, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 9/17/26
16591 Via Lago Azul
4,711 sq ft · 5 bd · 1.17 ac · first asked $4,995,000 · 27 total days
$4,700,000
$998 / sq ft
94.1% of original
6056 Calle Camposeco, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 9/15/26
6056 Calle Camposeco
7,406 sq ft · 6 bd · 1.40 ac · first asked $6,450,000 · 81 total days
$5,703,750
$770 / sq ft
88.4% of original
17191 Camino de Montecillo, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 9/15/26
17191 Camino de Montecillo
5,655 sq ft · 5 bd · — · entered only to record the sale, never marketed
$5,100,000
$902 / sq ft
— of original
16772 Camino Sierra Del Sur, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 8/26/26
16772 Camino Sierra Del Sur
6,459 sq ft · 6 bd · 1.14 ac · first asked $5,999,999 · 263 total days
$5,200,000
$805 / sq ft
86.7% of original
6089 Avenida Alteras, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 8/3/26
6089 Avenida Alteras
9,106 sq ft · 6 bd · 1.33 ac · first asked $6,995,000 · 51 total days
$6,450,000
$708 / sq ft
92.2% of original
16625 Via Lago Azul, Fairbanks Ranch
Closed 7/6/26
16625 Via Lago Azul
5,009 sq ft · 4 bd · 1.14 ac · first asked $7,495,000 · 226 total days
$6,173,000
$1,232 / sq ft
82.4% of original
The window
Every closing from July 1st, 2026 to October 31st, 2026, most recent first. October alone had fewer than six, so this page reaches back by whole months until it shows six. It is the only page that does.
07
As of November 1st, 2026

For sale and pending

Months of supply
4.1
Ten homes are for sale today, against 8 on October 4th. At the pace homes have sold over the last year, that's 4.1 months of supply, up from 2.9 four weeks ago.
The homes
Every home for sale here, with its price history, is on my live search for Fairbanks Ranch, which updates as listings change.
Pending · 0
Nothing is in escrow here today.
08
Came off without selling,
last 30 days

Off the market

The last 30 days
Nothing here came off the market without selling in the last 30 days.
AJ Powers, Broker/Owner, Irons & Estates
A note from AJ

If I were buying in Fairbanks Ranch right now

The market here is fairly balanced right now. That gives a buyer room to be selective without losing the home they want to a long wait.

If your range is between $6 and $7 million, that's where supply is tightest, at 2.0 months. I'd move faster there than anywhere else in Fairbanks Ranch.

Before you compare two homes on price per foot, compare the lots. A lot of the value here sits in the land, and price per foot hides it.

Some of the best opportunities I see are homes a buyer can make their own. My design and renovation background is how I help clients see what a home becomes and what the work is worth.

AJ PowersBroker/Owner, Irons & Estates

Every sale, last twelve months

ClosedAddressSoldContractSq ftLot$ / sq ftOf first askTotal days
9/17/2616591 Via Lago Azul$4,700,0008/21/264,7111.17 ac$99894.1%27
9/15/266056 Calle Camposeco$5,703,7508/22/267,4061.40 acb$77088.4%81
9/15/2617191 Camino de Montecillo$5,100,000Recorded at salea5,655—$902——
8/26/2616772 Camino Sierra Del Sur$5,200,0008/3/266,4591.14 ac$80586.7%263
8/3/266089 Avenida Alteras$6,450,00011/27/24e9,1061.33 ac$70892.2%51
7/6/2616625 Via Lago Azul$6,173,0006/25/265,0091.14 ac$1,23282.4%226
6/16/2616614 Circa Del Sur$6,000,0005/26/266,7901.71 ac$88493.8%50
6/8/2616364 Via Cazadero$6,150,000Recorded at salea7,5691.02 ac$813——
6/5/2616429 Avenida de los Olivos$5,375,0005/21/268,0691.02 ac$666100.0%25
5/26/2617538 Circa Oriente$6,063,320Recorded at salea5,695—$1,065——
5/15/2617432 Calle Mayor$4,425,0004/21/267,1741.10 ac$61788.6%233
5/13/266294 Calle Del Campanario$3,600,0005/6/265,2251.72 ac$68990.1%29
4/28/2617307 Calle Mayor$4,773,0003/19/265,2751.21 ac$90597.5%22
4/23/2617515 Circa Oriente$4,200,0003/24/265,6121.23 ac$74885.8%296
3/20/266686 Camino Saucito$3,650,0002/7/265,1561.93 ac$70878.5%286
3/18/2616750 Via De Los Rosales$5,350,000Recorded at salea4,7641.09 ac$1,123——
3/18/266039 Avenida Alteras$7,819,700Recorded at salea7,2601.29 ac$1,077——
2/20/2616727 Camino Sierra del Sur Drive$6,600,000Not recordedd10,0971.53 ac$65488.0%164
2/19/2617177 Calle Serena$4,700,0001/22/266,0511.00 ac$77794.3%63
2/12/266691-93 Camino Saucito$8,200,00012/10/258,0433.01 ac$1,02063.1%296
2/6/2616985 Via Cuesta Verde$5,000,0001/16/265,2631.28 ac$950111.2%8
1/26/2617770 Calle Mayor$4,700,00011/13/258,2481.09 ac$57073.4%153
1/6/2617828 Circa Oriente$4,100,00011/6/255,6861.29 ac$72197.7%223
1/6/266056 Calle Camposeco$4,895,10011/19/257,4061.40 ac$66198.0%1
12/31/2517323 Circa Del Sur$4,170,00012/10/254,4421.18 ac$939101.7%3
12/29/256172 Via Posada Del Norte$4,000,00012/19/255,6341.11 ac$71069.6%292
12/17/2516942 Via Cuesta Verde$9,173,11112/1/259,1511.73 ac$1,00294.1%21
11/25/2516770 Via De Los Rosales$7,200,00011/5/257,3021.11 ac$98685.2%94
11/14/255992 Calle Camposeco$28,000,00011/5/2531,06838.98 acc$90197.0%238

Every closing from November 1st, 2025 to October 31st, 2026, most recent first. Contract is the date the home came off the MLS as sold, which is when it went under contract. First ask is where the home's current run of listings started, and total days count every listing in that run.

a Entered in the MLS only to record the sale, so there is no contract date, asking price comparison or days on market.

b Lot size from the same home's January 2026 listing. c Lot size as the listing states it.

d The MLS shows the same date for contract and close. e As the MLS records it: off the market November 27th, 2024 and closed August 3rd, 2026.

Homes for sale and recent sales, live

My live Fairbanks Ranch search shows every home for sale and every recent sale, drawn to the community's boundary. It updates as listings change.

Homes for saleRecent salesAbout Fairbanks Ranch

Past editions

Prepared by AJ Powers, Broker/Owner, Irons & Estates (DRE #01856860) · 858.914.0804

Source: CRMLS / SDMLS, data pulled November 1st, 2026. Information is believed to be accurate but is not guaranteed and should be independently verified, including square footage and lot size.